Highly Active Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted by Federal Forecasters
As federal forecasters continue to monitor the Atlantic hurricane season, they are predicting a highly active period due to near-record sea surface temperatures and the potential development of La Niña. The latest outlook from NOAA suggests that atmospheric and oceanic conditions are primed for an extremely active hurricane season, which could be one of the busiest on record.
Outlook for the Atlantic Hurricane Season
Despite some adjustments to the initial forecast, the expected number of named storms remains high, ranging from 17 to 24, with the possibility of 4 to 7 major hurricanes with wind speeds exceeding 111 mph. This forecast is well above the average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes seen during a typical hurricane season.
Factors Influencing Hurricane Activity
When assessing the busyness of the hurricane season, meteorologists look at two key factors: Atlantic ocean temperatures and the presence of La Niña or El Niño. La Niña can increase storm activity in the Atlantic by providing warmer waters for fueling hurricanes, while El Niño can have the opposite effect. With the potential emergence of La Niña between September and November, the peak of the hurricane season may coincide with increased storm activity.
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